Yesterday we saw that
there was some buying seen and we expected the index to bottom out soon. Today
we saw some selling early in the session. Soon buying interest dominated and we
saw the index recover and close near the open. The index again closed above the
previous support level of 9860. Technically today’s Bar is a successful test for
supply. We need to see tomorrows move for confirmation of the “Successful Test”. Anyway the market seems to have bottomed out.
We could see some sideways move in the coming days before seeing any upside as the
retracement of the overall up move from 9700 has been quite deep and more than
50%. Some consolidation around these
levels is only natural.
Tuesday, September 26, 2017
Saturday, September 23, 2017
#NIFTY Weekend view on the 23rd September.
Last week end we saw that the index was struggling to move up and
the effort to result ratio was not encouraging. As a result we expected the
index to range or retrace. On the first day the index attempted to take out the
previous price rejection level of 10137 and closed at 10153. However this level
could not be sustained and the index started slipping in the next two days.
However on Thursday we saw supply taking control. But the buyers did not give
up easily and the index ended much above the low of 10058. But on Friday the
buying interest was lacking as selling took full control and we saw a
widespread “Effort to move down” bar closing near the low. Clearly the bad
effort to result ratio was the cause and we saw the Effect which was the
retracement. The volume off the big down move of Friday was
not very high. The above average volume indicates that further downside is limited.
Support could be coming around 9910 or 9860 below. On the upper side 10137 remains
sacrosanct as of now J.
Monday, September 18, 2017
Sunday, September 17, 2017
#NIFTY View on the 15th September.
We saw the
Index making some healthy up moves from the low of August. However this month
we saw the Index ranging on low volume. Then there was a clear attempt to move
the index on increased volume which however failed to produce the desired
result. We saw a poor effort to Result ratio. The Index is struggling around
the previous price rejection level of 10075. There is a good probability that
we will see some more ranging if not a retracement at the current levels. The
Index need to cross 10140 convincingly to see more up side.
#CIPLA Not looking very positive
This
stock has been moving in a range for the
last three months. The range seems to be more dominated by more selling than
buying. It seems to signal distribution rather than accumulation. Volume is not
coming in like the other Pharma stocks. Also the stock has not shown any
tendency for breakout like it’s peers.
Saturday, September 16, 2017
Friday, September 15, 2017
#NIFTYPHARMA #PHARMASTOCKS
After substantial losses the Pharma stocks have started
making a quite recovery as evident in the Pharma Index. After the big fall we
saw two quick buy waves (Short covering) and some accumulation. Last week we
saw some real demand coming in these stock.
Sun Pharma has broken out of consolidation. In stocks like Divis Lab and
IPCA we saw some flare up. Biocon , Cipla and Glenpharma have not really broken
out yet and should be on the watch list.
Sun Pharma looks set to move higher and it is worth to look for entry opportunities.
Shall post chart of the Individual stocks separately.
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