. Today it
seemed that the strength was indeed returning to the Market. We saw a above
average spread up Bar closing at the top. However the volume was just about
average. The overall market also showed
more buying pressure than selling pressure. The overall market volume also
remained just average. Now the index is back into the trading range. The strength that was seen today lacks credibility
as indicated by the mediocre volume. We need to wait and see what happens in
the next few sessions to confirm if the strength has indeed returned to the
market. More sideways moves or in other words more ranging is expected. Any big
uptrend is ruled out for the present and neither any big downside is expected.
Monday, March 12, 2018
Sunday, March 11, 2018
#NIFTY #VSA Review for the week ending on the 9th of March.
Last
week end we expected the market to show some strength provided nothing crawls
out of the banking mess. More news
regarding the PNB scam sent the market down. Let us do some bar by bar analysis
for some lessons in VSA. It was on the 6th
we saw the market go down based on news and breaking the previous support to
seek new lows. We saw a wide spread Bar closing at the low. (Bar marked “A”). But the volume was just about average. Clearly
the selling was not huge as indicated by the volume. The weakness was indeed
limited. The next Bar (Marked “B”) was a down Bar closing down and the volume
increased. However the spread was narrow. The increased volume could not push
the index down much. Clearly there was strength in this Bar. This strength
manifested in the next Bar, marked “C”. The Bar “C” was an up Bar closing on the top.
The spread was about average and the volume also just above average. The lower tail of the Bar which was much more
than the body of the Bar indicates that selling was still present. The strength seen in the “C” Bar was mediocre
and almost disappeared in the next Bar. The next Bar (marked “D”) opened above
the previous Bar but closed slightly down. The spread was narrow and the volume
was low. It is difficult to classify such bar as “No Demand” or “No Supply”
bar. This was more of a “disinterest bar”
as neither the buyers nor the sellers showed much interest. But the down side
seems limited. The coming week could see
more lack luster trading days till some real strength comes in.
Saturday, March 3, 2018
#NIFTY #VSA Review of the Market for the week ending 1-3-18.
As expected the Index has been moving sideways. The overall Market has been also moving
almost in sync with the Index. Good consolidation
is going on in the market. The price rejection level for the index is 10585 and
the price support level is 10360. The declines
in the market have been at lower volumes. When we look at the wave chart the
Buy waves seem to be gaining strength. The Sell waves has not been able move
the index much. This is typically seen towards the latter half of consolidation
ranges as the accumulation drains supply. We could see some more accumulation including
a possible shakeout. The coming week is likely to see some strength because of
the northeast election results unless we see another scam crawl out of the mess called Banking.
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